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According to a survey of 29 analysts, 11 analysts, or 38%, believe that oil prices will fall in the week of October 16; 10 of them, or 34%, believe that oil prices will rise; the remaining 8 analysts will price oil Flat. The proportion of analysts who predicted that oil prices will decline last week is 48%.
According to the US Department of Energy, the United States last week increased gasoline inventories by 2.94 million barrels to 214.4 million barrels; distillate stocks increased by 67.9 million barrels to 178.1 million barrels in the same period, hitting the highest point in January 1983.
Tim Evans, an energy analyst at Citi Futures Perspective, said: "Once the dollar rises, the Standard & Poor's 500 index weakens, or crude oil supplies increase, the crude oil market is facing downside risks."
The U.S. Department of Energy said that as of the week of October 2, U.S. energy demand fell by 0.9% to an average of 18.7 million barrels per day.
Since the survey was conducted in April 2004, the probability of accurately predicting the future trend of oil prices has been 47%.
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Analysts believe that crude oil futures prices may decline due to rising energy inventories and declining energy consumption in the United States.